Go Back

Set For Life: Your Odds and Chances of Winning Explained

Set For Life is a UK National Lottery game with a standout feature: its top prize is paid monthly over a set number of years rather than as a single lump sum. That structure appeals to players who like clear, regular payouts.

This guide explains how the game works and what the published odds mean in practice. You will also find context on how Set For Life compares to other UK lotteries, plus a few common misconceptions cleared up along the way. Read on to learn more. 

What Is the Set For Life Lottery?

Set For Life is part of the National Lottery and launched in 2019. It uses a simple format: choose five main numbers from 1 to 47 and one Life Ball from 1 to 10. Each line costs £1.50, and draws take place on Mondays and Thursdays. Entries can be made online or at authorised retailers.

The defining feature is how the top prizes are paid. Match all five main numbers and the Life Ball and you receive a fixed sum every month for a set number of years. Match five main numbers without the Life Ball and you receive a separate fixed payout paid monthly for a shorter period. Lower tiers are paid as one-off amounts.

Rules set out the full details, including how prizes are paid and what happens if there are multiple winners in the same tier. It is worth reading those before you play so you know exactly how your entry works.

Players should always remember to gamble responsibly and within their means- never wager more than you can afford to lose. 

Chances of Winning Set For Life – What Are the Odds?

The odds are determined by the pool of possible number combinations. For each line, you pick 5 numbers from 47 and 1 Life Ball from 10, which creates 15,339,390 possible six-number combinations.

  • Matching all five main numbers plus the Life Ball, which is required for the top prize, is 1 in 15,339,390.
  • Matching five main numbers without the Life Ball is 1 in 1,704,377.
  • Matching four main numbers and the Life Ball is around 1 in 73,045.
  • At the lower end, matching two main numbers is about 1 in 15.

Every draw is random and independent, so the chance on each line stays the same no matter when you enter or which numbers you choose.

How Does the Prize Structure Work?

Set For Life organises prizes by tiers, based on how many numbers you match. The more numbers matched, the higher the tier.

The top tier pays a fixed monthly amount for a set number of years if you match five main numbers and the Life Ball. The next tier pays a fixed monthly amount for a shorter period if you match five main numbers only. Below that, prizes are one-off payments for combinations such as four main numbers plus the Life Ball, four main numbers, and so on, down to the lowest prize for matching two main numbers.

Amounts are set per tier and published in the official rules. In unusual cases where there are many winners in the same tier, prize capping rules can apply, which may adjust how much each winner receives. Those scenarios are defined in the game’s terms so you can see exactly how payouts are handled.

What Are the Odds of Winning the Top Prize?

As outlined earlier, the chance of matching five main numbers plus the Life Ball is 1 in 15,339,390 for each line you enter. That probability is based on the number of possible combinations and does not change from one draw to the next.

Each entry stands on its own. There is no method, pattern, or number choice that improves the chance on a single line. Buying more lines gives you more entries, but each line retains the same odds.

What Are the Odds of Winning Any Prize?

The overall odds of winning any prize in Set For Life are roughly 1 in 12.4 per line. That figure combines all prize tiers, from the lowest tier up to the top prize.

Lower tiers are naturally more common than higher ones. Matching two main numbers, for instance, occurs far more often than matching five numbers and the Life Ball, which is why the prizes scale upwards as the combinations become harder to hit.

If you are considering non-National Lottery games that look similar, check their published odds and prize tiers first. Formats and probabilities can differ from Set For Life.

How Do Set For Life Odds Compare to Other UK Lotteries?

Set For Life’s top prize odds are 1 in 15,339,390. That sits between Thunderball and Lotto in terms of difficulty, and far above EuroMillions for accessibility to the top tier.

  • Lotto jackpot: 1 in 45,057,474
  • EuroMillions jackpot: 1 in 139,838,160
  • Thunderball top prize: 1 in 8,060,598

These differences reflect design choices. Games with higher top prizes tend to have longer odds for that tier, while games with better odds typically cap their top payouts at lower levels. Set For Life offers a middle ground by pairing defined monthly payments with odds that are shorter than the largest jackpots but longer than Thunderball.

Why Do Lottery Odds Matter?

Odds help set realistic expectations before you enter. They show how often each prize is expected to occur across many draws and explain why top-tier outcomes are rare while lower-tier outcomes appear more frequently.

They also make comparisons practical. If you prefer a chance at regular monthly payments over a single large jackpot, the published figures let you weigh Set For Life against alternatives. If you prefer a larger top prize and accept longer odds, another game might suit you better.

Odds do not change from draw to draw, and they do not respond to patterns or number choices. Treat the figures as the fixed framework for the game. As with any form of wagering, only take part if it is affordable and you are comfortable with the likelihoods involved.

Common Misconceptions About Set For Life Odds

A common misconception is that certain number choices improve your chances. Picking birthdays, popular patterns, or avoiding recent results does not alter the probability on a single line. Each valid combination has the same chance.

Another misunderstanding is that entering more draws somehow makes a major win “due.” The draws are independent. More entries mean more chances, but the odds per line stay exactly the same each time.

People also sometimes assume prizes change with the number of winners. Set For Life publishes set amounts per tier, and those apply as standard. If there is an unusually high number of winners in the same tier, prize capping rules can come into play. Those rules are laid out in the game’s terms so you can see in advance how they would work.

Finally, games that resemble lotteries at other operators may look familiar but can run on different formats. It could be a good idea to check the game information so you know the exact odds and prize structure before you consider taking part.

**The information provided in this blog is intended for educational purposes and should not be construed as betting advice or a guarantee of success. Always gamble responsibly.

 *All values (Bet Levels, Maximum Wins etc.) mentioned in relation to these games are subject to change at any time. Game features mentioned may not be available in some jurisdictions.